The data in the table below represent individual observations on molecular weight taken hourly
from a chemical process. The target value of molecular weight is 1050 and the process standard
deviation is thought to be about = 25. Please use software outputs to present your analysis.
(a) Set up a tabular CUSUM for the mean of this process (choose appropriate k and h).
(b) Set up an EWMA control chart with appropriate A and L.
(c) Compare your results to those obtained with the CUSUM. (part ¢ is only required for
IEM 5103 Students)
Observation Observation
Number x Number x
0s 1 1.139
2 1055 12 1,169
3107 13 L151
4 1.064 14 1.128
51095 15 1238
6 1008 16 1125
7 1.050 17 1.163
8 1087 18 1188
9 LIS 19 1.146
10 1.146 20 1,167
Question:
The data in the table below represent individual observations on molecular weight taken hourly
from a chemical process. The target value of molecular weight is 1050 and the process standard
deviation is thought to be about = 25. Please use software outputs to present your analysis.
(a) Set up a tabular CUSUM for the mean of this process (choose appropriate k and h).
(b) Set up an EWMA control chart with appropriate A and L.
(c) Compare your results to those obtained with the CUSUM. (part ¢ is only required for
IEM 5103 Students)
Observation Observation
Number x Number x
0s 1 1.139
2 1055 12 1,169
3107 13 L151
4 1.064 14 1.128
51095 15 1238
6 1008 16 1125
7 1.050 17 1.163
8 1087 18 1188
9 LIS 19 1.146
10 1.146 20 1,167
This is AI generated Response.
Asked by: Umesh
Created at: 2025-07-26 21:25:27
Final Answer:
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Let's break down the solution as requested:
---
### Given Data
- **Target value of molecular weight (\(\mu_0\))**: 1050
- **Standard deviation (\(\sigma\))**: 25
- **Data (\(x\))**: 20 individual observations (see table)
- **n**: 1 (individual observations)
---
## (a) **Tabular CUSUM Chart for the Mean**
**Step 1: Select parameters \(k\) and \(h\)**
- \(k\) (reference value): Typically \(k = 0.5 \sigma\) for detecting a shift of 1 \(\sigma\)
- \(k = 0.5 \times 25 = 12.5\)
- \(h\) (decision interval): Typically \(h = 5 \sigma\)
- \(h = 5 \times 25 = 125\) (you can adjust this depending on desired ARL)
**Step 2: Calculate CUSUM statistics**
For each observation \(x_i\):
- \(C^+_0 = 0\), \(C^-_0 = 0\)
- \(C^+_i = \max[0, C^+_{i-1} + (x_i - \mu_0) - k]\)
- \(C^-_i = \max[0, C^-_{i-1} - (x_i - \mu_0) - k]\)
**Step 3: Apply the CUSUM formulas**
Let's calculate the first few points as an example:
- **Observation 1:** \(x_1 = 1045\)
- \(C^+_1 = \max[0, 0 + (1045 - 1050) - 12.5] = \max[0, -5 - 12.5] = 0\)
- \(C^-_1 = \max[0, 0 - (1045 - 1050) - 12.5] = \max[0, 5 - 12.5] = 0\)
- **Observation 2:** \(x_2 = 1055\)
- \(C^+_2 = \max[0, 0 + (1055 - 1050) - 12.5] = \max[0, 5 - 12.5] = 0\)
- \(C^-_2 = \max[0, 0 - (1055 - 1050) - 12.5] = \max[0, -5 - 12.5] = 0\)
Continue this calculation for all 20 observations.
- **Alarm:** If either \(C^+\) or \(C^-\) exceeds \(h\), the process is out of control.
---
## (b) **EWMA Control Chart**
**Step 1: Choose parameters \(\lambda\) and \(L\)**
- \(\lambda\): Typically 0.2 or 0.3 (let’s use 0.2)
- \(L\): Usually between 2.7 and 3.0 for 3-sigma limits (let’s use 3)
**Step 2: Calculate EWMA statistics**
- \(z_0 = \mu_0 = 1050\)
- For each \(i\):
- \(z_i = \lambda x_i + (1-\lambda)z_{i-1}\)
- **Control limits:**
- \(UCL = \mu_0 + L \sigma \sqrt{ \frac{\lambda}{2-\lambda} [1 - (1-\lambda)^{2i} ] }\)
- \(LCL = \mu_0 - L \sigma \sqrt{ \frac{\lambda}{2-\lambda} [1 - (1-\lambda)^{2i} ] }\)
**Step 3: Calculate for first few points**
- \(z_1 = 0.2 \times 1045 + 0.8 \times 1050 = 1049\)
- \(z_2 = 0.2 \times 1055 + 0.8 \times 1049 = 1050.2\)
- \(z_3 = 0.2 \times 1037 + 0.8 \times 1050.2 = 1047.36\)
Continue for all 20 points and plot the EWMA.
---
## (c) **Compare Results (Only for IEM 5103 Students)**
- You would compare the sensitivity of the CUSUM and EWMA charts to small shifts in the process mean, and comment on which detected a shift earlier, if at all.
---
### **Summary Table (First Few Calculations)**
| Obs | \(x\) | \(C^+\) | \(C^-\) | \(z\) |
|-----|-------|---------|---------|----------|
| 1 | 1045 | 0 | 0 | 1049 |
| 2 | 1055 | 0 | 0 | 1050.2 |
| 3 | 1037 | 0 | 0 | 1047.36 |
| 4 | 1064 | 1.5 | 0 | ... |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
---
**You can use Excel or statistical software to automate the calculations for all 20 points and plot both charts.** If you want the full calculation or Excel template, let me know!
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